Affiliations: Department of Ship Hydromechanics, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands | Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway | Allseas Engineering BV, Delft, The Netherlands
Note: [] Corresponding author: Peter Naaijen, Department of Ship Hydromechanics, Delft University of Technology, Mekelweg 2, 2628 CD Delft, The Netherlands. Tel.: +31 15 2781570; E-mail: p.naaijen@tudelft.nl
Abstract: We discuss the spatio-temporal domain, here referred to as the predictable zone, in which waves can be predicted deterministically based on an observation in a limited spatial or temporal domain. A key issue is whether the group or phase speed of the observed waves governs the extent of the predictable zone. We have addressed this issue again using linear wave theory on both computer-generated synthetic wave fields and laboratory experimental observations. We find that the group speed adequately indicates the predictable zone for forecasting horizons relevant for offshore and maritime applications.
