Time taken for a primary tumor to metastasize to the brain and the overall survival of patients with brain metastasis: An analysis of outcomes and factors affecting survival
Abstract
BACKGROUND:
Brain metastasis (BM) is one of the main causes of high morbidity and mortality in cancer patients.
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the factors that influenced the survival time of patients with primary cancer and survival time after BM.
METHODS:
Ninety patients with BM diagnosed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were included in the study. We retrospectively analyzed the time to brain metastasis (TTB), overall survival time (OS1) and survival time after BM (OS2). The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were used for survival analyses.
RESULTS:
The median TTB was 12.0 (95% CI: 9.2–14.8 months), the median OS1 was 31.0 (95% CI: 25.8–35.2 months) and the median OS2 was 14.0 (95% CI: 10.9–17.1 months). Surgical excision of the primary tumor was an independent factor for a prolonged TTB (
CONCLUSIONS:
It suggests that TTB can be prolonged by primary tumor resection. Furthermore, women with a prolonged TTB and single intracranial metastasis are associated with high OS. These were helpful for the clinical treatment of BM patients before brain metastasis.
1.Introduction
Brain metastasis (BM) is the most common intracranial malignant tumor in adults. BM usually metastasizes from tumor cells outside of the brain tissue. The incidence of BM is certainly much higher than that of primary intracranial tumors, and intracranial metastases found in 8.5–9.6% of patients with malignant tumors [1, 2]. The most common metastatic organ include lung (50%), breast (15%–20%), melanoma (5%–10%), kidney (7%), and colon (4%–6%). In BM from lung cancer, non-small cell lung cancer is the most common primary type, accounting for approximately 35–45% [3]. A small number of major lesions cannot be detected, and BM can be single or multiple. However, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) revealed that multiple lesions are more commonly observed [3, 4]. BM found in 20% of cancer patients, with the improvement of imaging technology, BM patients can be diagnosed as early as possible and then effective systemic treatments can be adopted, the true incidence rate should be higher [5, 6, 7].
Currently, the main treatment measures for BM include surgery, whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT), stereotactic radiotherapy (RT), and chemotherapy [4]. However, the treatment and prognosis of BM are still controversial. To determine the developmental pattern of BM, many clinical researchers have evaluated many prognostic factors as well as the use of clinical interventions (such as RT and chemotherapy) to analyze whether there were significant differences considering the impact of different factors on the survival rate of patients with BM. Studies have shown differences in survival rates between men and women as well as considering the number of BM [8, 9]. Different clinical interventions, such as resection of metastatic lesions, also affect prognosis [10]. In addition, the survival rate of patients with lung adenosquamous carcinoma with BM is also significant due to the different time from primary tumor to brain metastasis (TTB) [11]. However, in these studies, the diagnosis of BM was the clinical threshold and the characteristics of tumor progression after BM were analyzed, ignoring the effect of tumor progression on the survival rate during the TTB. In recent studies, usually based on the diagnosis of BM, collected and analyzed of patients clinical characteristics and treatment. Analyze the survival of BM patients after brain metastasis, find out the prognostic factors that have statistical significance for survival time. However, these studies did not include the clinical features before BM, and the impact of primary tumor progression on TTB. Effective intervention before the primary tumor metastasizes to the brain will help to better delay the process of brain metastasis and improve the quality of life. Therefore, in the current study, BM was the research boundary point on the basis of the original study; we then analyzed the characteristics of the different types of primary cancers before and after metastasis and finally added up the two time periods for comprehensive analysis. Moreover, analysis of clinical data of BM patients after brain metastasis combined the two periods for comprehensive analysis.
We analyzed the characteristics of primary cancer in 90 patients with BM and evaluated the factors that influenced the survival time of patients with primary cancer and survival time after BM. We defined the time from the date of diagnosis of the primary tumor to the diagnosis of BM as the TTB, the time from the diagnosis of the primary tumor to the end of the study as the overall survival time (OS1), and the time from the diagnosis of BM to the end of the study as the survival time after BM (OS2). Owing to the limitations of resection of BM [12, 13], we hypothesized that resection of the primary tumor can delay the occurrence of BM and increase the total survival time of patients during the TTB.
The results of our study will provide the basis for clinical treatment and improve the existing treatment model.
1. We collected clinical data of BM patients before brain metastasis, analyzed their TTB survival status, overcame the previous research that focused survival situation after brain metastasis, and provide a reference for the early treatment of patients with brain metastasis.
2. Moreover, we collected data of BM patients after brain metastasis, analyzed the survival of BM patients after brain metastasis. We combined two periods and comprehensively analyzed the impact of various factors on survival time, the last three stages of survival. The results reflecting the different prognostic factors that affect survival time of BM patients.
We summarized the demographic and clinical characteristics of 90 patients with BM. We analyzed the factors based on TTB, OS1, and OS2.
2.Materials and methods
Written informed consent was obtained from each participant, and the study protocol was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the Affiliated Hospital. All patient-related information was confidential. The criteria for inclusion in this retrospective study included a diagnosis of a primary tumor, BM, and RT evaluation.
The current retrospective study was performed in Wuxi City, Jiangsu Province, China. We selected the patients first. Eligible patients were those living in this city for at least 3 years and who were planning to be admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University for treatment. The study was conducted from May 2010 to May 2018. The inclusion criteria were BM patients (diagnosed by MRI enhancement) with initial metastasis that met the surgical indications, and the patients lost to follow-up and transferred to hospital were excluded. Next, we determined the required research variables, then arranged the patient’s medical records, continued following up the patients or their families. We collected the necessary records of patient including clinical trial data in time to ensure the accuracy and consistency of the data collection and entry process. Simultaneously, the data of all the patients were strictly verified, and the diagnostic criteria for each case were checked if they were unified, if the necessary examination items were complete, if the observation indicators were complete, and if the efficacy criteria were consistent. These patients were histologically diagnosed with different primary tumors, and the occurrence of BM was checked using enhanced MRI of the brain.
Survival analysis was used mainly in the study. We used the Kaplan-Meier test to analyze the single variable, and the factors with
The main endpoints of the study were TTB, OS1, and OS2. OS1 was calculated from the time of diagnosis of the primary tumor to the end of the study. OS2 was defined as the time from BM to the end of the study. Other relevant information were obtained by interview and confirmed by medical records, such as gender, age, primary tumor type, primary tumor control, extracranial tumor control, BM occurrence time, BM quantity, BM location, and BM treatment information (whether the primary tumor was treated with surgery and whether the primary tumor was treated with RT or chemotherapy after BM).
Survival data are expressed in months. The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year survival rates were calculated. All descriptive survival data were presented with the 95% confidence interval (95% CI). We generated a stacked bar chart showing the relationships between the survival data for all cases. All the reported CIs were bilateral, and p-values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant. All statistical analysis and graphics generation were performed using SPSS
3.Results
3.1Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients
The demographic and clinical characteristics of the 90 patients included in the random sample are shown in Table 1. The primary tumor in these patients was mostly lung cancer (70.0%), and adenocarcinoma was the most common tumor type (60.0%). BM lesions were more common in the supratentorial part of the brain (58.9%) or in the whole brain (32.2%). Multiple BM lesions (65.6%) were more common than single metastases (34.4%) when BM was first found. In most patients, BM lesions were accompanied by edema (72.2%) but without any hemorrhage (93.3%) or necrosis (93.3%). Figure 1 shows the imaging characteristics and three-dimensional fluoroscopy of metastatic brain lesions. The median TTB was 12.0 months (95% CI: 9.2–14.7, Fig. 2A). The median OS1 was 31.0 months (95% CI: 25.8–35.2, Fig. 2B). The median OS2 was 14.0 months (95% CI: 10.9–17.1, Fig. 2C).
Table 1
Characteristic | No. (%) | |
---|---|---|
Median survival time (months) | ||
TTB | 12.0 | |
OS1 | 31.0 | |
OS2 | 14.0 | |
Gender | ||
Male | 48 | (53.3) |
Female | 42 | (46.7) |
Age (year) | ||
| 42 | (46.7) |
| 48 | (53.3) |
Category 1 | ||
Lung cancer | 63 | (70.0) |
Breast cancer | 15 | (16.7) |
Colon cancer | 8 | (8.9) |
Other cancer | 4 | (4.4) |
Category 2 | ||
Adenocarcinoma | 54 | (60.0) |
Non-small lung cancer | 7 | (7.8) |
Small cell lung cancer | 10 | (11.1) |
Squamous carcinoma | 8 | (8.9) |
Ductal carcinoma | 7 | (7.8) |
Other | 4 | (4.4) |
Primary tumor control | ||
Yes | 71 | (78.9) |
No | 19 | (21.1) |
Extracranial tumor control | ||
Yes | 51 | (56.7) |
No | 39 | (43.3) |
No. of brain metastasis | ||
1 | 31 | (34.4) |
| 59 | (65.6) |
Location | ||
Supratentorial | 53 | (58.9) |
Subtentorial | 8 | (8.9) |
Both | 29 | (32.2) |
Border | ||
Well-defined | 64 | (71.1) |
Ill-defined | 26 | (28.9) |
Morphology | ||
Regular | 65 | (72.2) |
Irregular | 25 | (27.8) |
Edema | ||
Yes | 65 | (72.2) |
No | 25 | (27.8) |
Necrosis | ||
Yes | 6 | (6.7) |
No | 84 | (93.3) |
Hemorrhage | ||
Yes | 6 | (6.7) |
No | 84 | (93.3) |
TTB: time to brain metastasis; OS: overall survival. OS1 in months: From the primary tumor diagnosis to the end of the follow-up; OS2 in months: From the date of brain metastasis diagnosis.
Figure 1.
Figure 2.
Figure 3.
3.2Single factor and multiple factor survival analysis of OS data
The results of univariate survival analysis by using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate survival analysis by using Cox regression analysis for TTB are shown in Table 3. The results showed that female (Gender),
The results of univariate survival analysis by using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate survival analysis by using Cox regression analysis for OS1 are shown in Table 3. The results showed that female (Gender), breast cancer (category 1), ductal carcinoma (category 2), TTB
Table 2
Variables | Comparisons | Univariate survival analysis Median TTB in months (95% CI) | Multivariate survival analysis Hazard ratio (95% CI) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male vs. Female | 7.0 (3.6–10.4) vs. 26.0 (11.2–40.8) | 0.000 | 1.9 (1.0–3.5) | 0.040 |
Age (year) | 13.0 (1.2–24.8) vs. 9.0 (5.6–12.4) | 0.037 | 1.0 (0.6–1.6) | 0.974 | |
Category 1 | Lung cancer vs. Breast cancer vs. Colon cancer vs. Other cancer | 7.0 (4.8–9.2) vs. 68.0 (16.2–119.8) vs. 25.0 (5.6–44.4) vs. 47.0 (0–104.8) | 0.000 | 4.0 (0.8–19.5) for Breast Cancer 0.9 (0.2–3.5) for Colon Cancer 2.8 (0.5–15.8) for Other Cancer | 0.082 0.879 0.233 |
Category 2 | Adenocarcinoma vs. Non-small lung cancer vs. Small cell lung cancer vs. Squamous carcinoma vs. Ductal carcinoma vs. Others | 12.0 (5.8–18.1) vs. 4.0 (0–9.1) vs. 6.0 (5.0–7.0) vs. 3.0 (0.2–5.8) vs. 107.0 (6.9–207.1) vs. 47.0 (0–104.8) | 0.000 | 1.5 (0.5–4.2) for Non-small lung cancer 2.4 (0.6–9.4) for Small cell lung cancer 1.8 (0.5–6.7) for Squamous carcinoma 3.797 (0.9–15.5) for Ductal carcinoma | 0.477 0.204 0.366 0.063 |
Primary tumor control | Yes vs. No | 12.0 (3.6–16.4) vs. 10.0 (5.5–18.4) | 0.406 | ||
Extracranial tumor control | Yes vs. No | 12.0 (9.0–15.0) vs. 13.0 (0–29.3) | 0.430 | ||
No. of brain metastasis | 1 vs. | 22.0 (3.8–40.2) vs. 10.0 (6.6–13.4) | 0.022 | 0.9 (0.5–1.7) | 0.734 |
Surgery | Yes vs. No | 23.0 (19.0–27.0) vs. 6.0 (4.8–7.2) | 0.000 | 0.4 (0.2–0.7) | 0.001 |
Table 3
Variables | Comparisons | Univariate survival analysis Median OS1 in months (95% CI) | Multivariate survival analysis Hazard ratio (95% CI) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male vs. Female | 20.0 (11.3–28.7) vs. 53.0 (30.3–75.7) | 0.000 | 2.527 (1.453, 4.397) | 0.001 |
Age (year) | 32.0 (28.4–35.6) vs. 30.0 (19.8–40.2) | 0.159 | |||
Category 1 | Lung cancer vs. Breast cancer vs. Colon cancer vs. Other cancer | 25.0 (19.2–30.8) vs. 86.0 (24.1–147.9) vs. 31.0 (1.9–60.1) vs. 74.0 (0–164.2) | 0.000 | 2.1 (0.4–10.0) for Breast Cancer 1.0 (0.3–4.3) for Colon Cancer 3.5 (0.7–21.6) for Other Cancer | 0.347 0.847 0.109 |
Category 2 | Adenocarcinoma vs. Non-small lung cancer vs. Small cell lung cancer vs. Squamous carcinoma vs. Ductal carcinoma vs. Others | 32.0 (27.9–36.1) vs. 14.0 (11.4–16.6) vs. 20.0 (3.0–37.0) vs. 13.0 (10.2–15.7) vs. 124.0 (26.5–221.5) vs. 74.0 (0–164.2) | 0.000 | 1.7 (0.6–4.7) for Non-small lung cancer 1.4 (0.4–5.3) for Small cell lung cancer 1.4 (0.4–5.2) for Squamous carcinoma 2.2 (0.5–8.8) for Ductal carcinoma | 0.339 0.631 0.603 0.268 |
TTB | 13.0 (11.8–14.2) vs. 24.0 (17.3–30.7) vs. 53.0 (37.5–68.5) | 0.000 | 9.4 (4.1–21.1) for 6–12 months 1.8 (0.9 | 0.000 | |
Primary tumor control | Yes vs. No | 32.0 (27.4–36.6) vs. 26.0 (16.0–40.0) | 0.487 | ||
Extracranial tumor control | Yes vs. No | 30.0 (21.3–38.7) vs. 33.0 (28.1–37.9) | 0.727 | ||
No. of brain metastasis | 1 vs. | 43.0 (27.6–58.4) vs. 28.0 (21.4–34.6) | 0.011 | 0.5 (0.2–0.9) | 0.020 |
Surgery | Yes vs. No | 43.0 (29.9–56.1) vs. 22.0 (13.9–30.0) | 0.000 | 1.0 (0.6–1.8) | 0.998 |
Radiotherapy | Yes vs. No | 32.0 (24.6–39.4) vs. 30.0 (24.3–35.7) | 0.891 | ||
Chemotherapy | Yes vs. No | 32.0 (27.9–36.1) vs. 29.0 (1.8–56.2) | 0.719 | ||
Location | Supratentorial vs. Subratentorial vs. Both | 31.0 (26.5–35.5) vs. 43.0 (0–112.33) vs. 29.0 (14.9–43.1) | 0.534 |
Table 4
Variables | Comparisons | Univariate survival analysis Median OS2 in months (95% CI) | Multivariate survival analysis Hazard ratio (95% CI) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male vs. Female | 11.0 (8.5–13.5) vs. 18.0 (3.24–11.6) | 0.017 | 1.7 (1.1–2.6) | 0.028 |
Age (year) | 13.0 (7.7–18.3) vs. 14.0 (10.1–17.9) | 0.781 | |||
Category 1 | Lung cancer vs. Breast cancer vs. Colon cancer vs. Other cancer | 12.0 (8.8–15.2) vs. 18.0 (6.6–29.4) vs. 8.0 (0–19.1) vs. 13.0 (0–34.6) | 0.144 | ||
Category 2 | Adenocarcinoma vs. Non-small lung cancer vs. Small cell lung cancer vs. Squamous carcinoma vs. Ductal carcinoma vs. Others | 14.0 (10.8–17.2) vs. 10.0 (6.2–13.8) vs.14.0 (0–33.6) vs. 11.0 (8.3–13.7) vs. 24.0 (8.6–39.4) vs. 13.0 (0–34.6) | 0.743 | ||
TTB | 11.0 (9.8–12.2) vs. 15.0 (11.6–18.4) vs.15.0 (10.6–19.4) | 0.043 | 1.5 (0.8–2.5) for 6–12 months 0.7 (0.4–1.2) for | 0.177 0.226 | |
Primary tumor control | Yes vs. No | 14.0 (10.2–17.7) vs. 12.0 (7.7–16.3) | 0.786 | ||
Extracranial tumor control | Yes vs. No | 14.0 (8.8–19.2) vs. 14.0 (9.1–18.9) | 0.184 | ||
No. of brain metastasis | 1 vs. | 23.0 (15.8–30.2) vs. 12.0 (9.9–14.1) | 0.050 | 0.6 (0.4–1.0) | 0.067 |
Radiotherapy | Yes vs. No | 14.0 (10.7–17.3) vs. 15.0 (5.0–25.0) | 0.982 | ||
Chemotherapy | Yes vs. No | 14.0 (11.0–17.0) vs. 10.0 (2.0–18.0) | 0.572 | ||
Location | Supratentorial vs. Subratentorial vs. Both | 18.0 (14.1–21.9) vs. 8.0 (0–19.1) vs. 11.0 (9.0–13.0) | 0.121 |
(adenocarcinoma: 32.0 vs. non-small lung cancer: 14.0 vs. small cell lung cancer: 20.0 vs. Squamous carcinoma:13.0 vs. Ductal carcinoma: 124.0 vs. Others: 4.0), TTB (
Figure 4.
The results of univariate survival analysis by using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate survival analysis by using Cox regression analysis for OS2 are shown in Table 4. The results showed that female (Gender), TTB
4.Discussion
In the current study, we analyzed the survival data of 90 patients with primary malignant tumors. Univariate analysis revealed that the median survival time of all the patients (including those with BM at the time of diagnosis) was approximately 31 months. Gender, age, category 1, category 2, number of BM, and surgery were independent predictors of TTB. Gender, category 1, category 2, TTB, number of BM, and surgery were independent predictors of OS1. Gender, TTB, and number of BM were independent predictors of OS2.
Currently, survival analysis of patients with BM treated with resection is mainly focused on the removal of BM, while no relevant study has evaluated whether the primary tumor should be removed via resection. In fact, many studies have focused on patient survival after excision of BM; however, the results of these studies were controversial regarding whether surgical treatment could benefit patients with primary tumors with BM. Surgical resection plays a key role in a single brain metastasis. Surgical resection can remove large, life-threatening tumors, and is also indispensable for providing or confirming pathological diagnosis. Some studies have shown that resection of BM can improve survival [14, 15, 16]. However, the other study has pointed out that the cause of death in patients with brain metastases is that the primary disease is aggravated by 50%, and neurological death due to brain metastases or pia maters accounts for 30% [17].
The role of surgery in patients with multiple brain metastases is unclear. In the treatment of multiple brain metastases, WBRT and chemotherapy are still the main treatments. The prognosis of this condition is poor, and patients with four or more brain tumors are usually not treated with surgery. The technical difficulty of the operation is also high, and the surgical decision must be made according to the patient’s clinical situation. Studies have pointed out that the impact of primary tumor control on survival time is more important than the number of brain lesions. However, compared with patients whose primary tumor is controlled, uncontrolled patients are more likely to have more brain metastases [18]. A few studies have evaluated the effect of surgical resection in patients with two or more brain metastases and have reached conflicting results. A prospective observational study by Yamamoto et al. found that in the absence of WBRT, the survival rate of 5–10 patients with brain metastases treated with stereotactic radiosurgery was lower than that of patients with only 2–4 brain metastases [19]. There was no statistical difference (
A few epidemiological studies have shown that different RT regimens can prolong survival in patients with BM. For example, a survey published in 2019 revealed that, compared with WBRT alone, WBRT
Multivariate analysis revealed that Gender and surgery were important factors that influenced TTB, and that resection of the primary tumor was a predictor of prolonged TTB. Removal of the primary tumor before BM can delay metastasis and prolong TTB. However, whether the primary tumor lesion was removed did not significantly influence OS1. On multivariate survival analysis, we found that a prolonged TTB was a prolonged independent predictor of OS1. Gender, TTB, and number of BM were important prognostic factors for OS1. Moreover, patients with lung adenosquamous carcinoma with longer TTB have a higher survival rate [11]. It was similar with our results. In addition, in our study, Gender and number of BM were important prognostic factors for OS2. Therefore, it is recommended that the primary tumor be removed when surgery is feasible. However, because the tumors spread throughout the body, removal of the tumor lesion was not possible in many patients. For such patients, 4–6 cycles of standard chemotherapy plus RT are required. The number of BM plays an important role in the prognosis of patients. The survival rate of patients with single BM is higher than that of patients with multiple BM, it was similar to the previous study by Eigentler et al. [24]. It associated with the progression of tumor metastasis, where multiple metastasis can compress the brain tissue and cause more damage, accelerating the progression of the disease.
The OS data were shown according to two different starting times. In clinical experience, the performance of patients with BM deteriorates, and the survival time is very limited. This study is the first to investigate factors that may influence the survival time of cancer patients, especially those with brain metastases. Therefore, the appropriate treatment for patients with primary tumor BM requires further study. Meanwhile, the current study has several limitations. This study was a retrospective study, and there is a selection bias in the selection of research objects. Besides, it is difficult to avoid recall bias when obtaining previous information. In addition, as it was a single-center study, there may be selection bias and the sample may not be representative. Moreover, our sample size was not very large, which may limit our power to detect significant associations in multivariate models. Furthermore, unmeasured confounders should not be ruled out, especially the lifestyle factors, which may affect the patients’ survival time.
5.Conclusion
We analyzed the survival data of patients with BM from the primary tumor. We found that women with a prolonged TTB after primary tumor resection and single intracranial metastasis have prolonged OS. Nevertheless, further epidemiological studies with larger sample sizes are needed to analyze unmeasured confounding factors, especially lifestyle factors, and subsequent multicentres to assess the relationship between primary tumor resection and survival of BM patients.
Conflict of interest
None to report.
Funding
This research was supported by the Research Projects of Public Health Research Center of Jiangnan University in 2018 (Grant No. 1286066903190030).
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