Random processes in modeling durability of building and structure

Article type: Research Article

Authors: Vilge, Boris I.

Affiliations: Lapid, Israel | E-mail: bvilge@gmail.com

Correspondence: [*] Corresponding author: Lapid, Israel. E-mail: bvilge@gmail.com.

Abstract: The problem of buildings and structures durability during their long-term operation in aggressive environments is discussed. It is closely connected with the problem of destruction of composite materials as a random process of birth, development, and death of defects at chemical corrosion. The content of the study is to analyze the influence of non-stationary chemical reactions occurring in real conditions on these processes. The analysis is carried out taking into account the incidental physical phenomena affecting corrosion, the most important of which is the diffusion of initial substances and reaction products occurring under different hydrodynamic conditions, i.e., the nature of fluid motion and its pressure which stimulates corrosion. The synthesis of three processes – chemical kinetics, diffusion, and hydrodynamics – allows us to study one of the possible scenarios of corrosion process development as a Markov process based on the statistical theory of the “weakest” link and the joint distribution of the random material and geometric parameters. Numerical analysis of changes in elastic and electrical properties of composite materials under these conditions allows us to substantiate the technology of non-destructive control of changes in the state of the structure. The research results are based on mathematical and statistical modeling.

Keywords: Durability, catastrophe, composite materials, environmental model, corrosion, defect, similarity criterion, random process, the “weakest” link, nondestructive monitoring methods, statistical analysis, regression equations

DOI: 10.3233/MAS-231489

Journal: Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 81-95, 2024