Searching for just a few words should be enough to get started. If you need to make more complex queries, use the tips below to guide you.
Article type: Research Article
Authors: Ma, Junwen | Bi, Wenhao; * | Mao, Zeming | Zhang, An | Tang, Changhong
Affiliations: Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an, China
Correspondence: [*] Corresponding author. Wenhao Bi, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an, China. E-mail: biwenhao@nwpu.edu.cn.
Abstract: The weaponized unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) swarms have posed a significant threat to maritime civilian and military installations. For effective defense deployment, threat assessment has become a critical part of maritime defense decision-making. However, due to the uncertainty of threat information and the ignorance of decision-makers’ psychological behaviors, there are great challenges in obtaining a reliable and accurate threat assessment result to assist in maritime defense decision-making. To this end, this paper proposes an integrated threat assessment method for maritime defense against UAV swarms based on improved interval type-2 fuzzy best-worst method (IT2FBWM), prospect theory and VIKOR (VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje, in Serbian). Firstly, the improved IT2FBWM is designed by introducing interval type-2 fuzzy set (IT2FS) and entropy-based information to obtain attribute weights with high reliability. Then, the hybrid fuzzy scheme covering IT2FS and interval number is constructed to express the uncertainty of different types of threat information. Next, VIKOR is extended to hybrid fuzzy environment and combined with prospect theory to consider the influence of psychological behaviors of decision-makers. Finally, the improved IT2FBWM and extended VIKOR are integrated to determine the threat ranking of targets and the priority defense targets. A case study of maritime threat assessment is provided to illustrate the performance of the proposed method. Moreover, sensitivity and comparative experiments were conducted, and the results indicate that the proposed method not only obtain the reliable threat assessment result but also outperforms the other methods in terms of attribute weight determination, decision preference consideration and decision mechanism.
Keywords: Threat assessment, interval type-2 fuzzy, best-worst method, prospect theory, multi-attribute decision-making
DOI: 10.3233/JIFS-231675
Journal: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, vol. 46, no. 2, pp. 4043-4061, 2024
IOS Press, Inc.
6751 Tepper Drive
Clifton, VA 20124
USA
Tel: +1 703 830 6300
Fax: +1 703 830 2300
sales@iospress.com
For editorial issues, like the status of your submitted paper or proposals, write to editorial@iospress.nl
IOS Press
Nieuwe Hemweg 6B
1013 BG Amsterdam
The Netherlands
Tel: +31 20 688 3355
Fax: +31 20 687 0091
info@iospress.nl
For editorial issues, permissions, book requests, submissions and proceedings, contact the Amsterdam office info@iospress.nl
Inspirees International (China Office)
Ciyunsi Beili 207(CapitaLand), Bld 1, 7-901
100025, Beijing
China
Free service line: 400 661 8717
Fax: +86 10 8446 7947
china@iospress.cn
For editorial issues, like the status of your submitted paper or proposals, write to editorial@iospress.nl
如果您在出版方面需要帮助或有任何建, 件至: editorial@iospress.nl