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Article type: Research Article
Authors: Spyrou, Kostas J. | Roupas, Iraklis
Affiliations: School of Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Iroon Polytechneiou, Zographou, Athens 15773, Greece
Note: [] Corresponding author. E-mail: spyrou@deslab.ntua.gr.
Abstract: We are proposing to upgrade Wendel's probabilistic concept of assessment of ship subdivision that has been applied in IMO's probabilistic regulatory framework, including the recent harmonized one. Unlike Wendel's concept where the focus is on the ship, here the emphasis is placed on passenger survival. Index A is replaced by a new index reflecting passenger risk. Damage scenarios that lead to ship loss may still contribute to safety, according to the relation between time-to-sink and evacuation time. A calculation procedure is proposed that exploits recent research. Demonstration of the methodology through preliminary application to a modern ferry is included.
Keywords: Ship, damage stability, probabilistic, risk assessment
Journal: International Shipbuilding Progress, vol. 54, no. 4, pp. 285-303, 2007
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